Traders assign a 96.7% probability to "No" on Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the rarity of presidential resignations and Trump's repeated public commitments to serve his full term amid ongoing political and legal developments. Historical patterns show most incumbents complete their terms absent acute crises, while recent polling trends, Republican congressional dynamics, and absence of formal resignation signals reinforce market pricing. Factors such as strong base support, policy agenda priorities, and institutional checks further reduce perceived resignation risk. Late-breaking developments including serious health events, major scandals triggering impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen family or legal pressures remain the primary variables that could still shift these odds before the 2027 cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$23,403 Vol.
$23,403 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% probability to "No" on Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the rarity of presidential resignations and Trump's repeated public commitments to serve his full term amid ongoing political and legal developments. Historical patterns show most incumbents complete their terms absent acute crises, while recent polling trends, Republican congressional dynamics, and absence of formal resignation signals reinforce market pricing. Factors such as strong base support, policy agenda priorities, and institutional checks further reduce perceived resignation risk. Late-breaking developments including serious health events, major scandals triggering impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen family or legal pressures remain the primary variables that could still shift these odds before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,403Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.7% probability to "No" on Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the rarity of presidential resignations and Trump's repeated public commitments to serve his full term amid ongoing political and legal developments. Historical patterns show most incumbents complete their terms absent acute crises, while recent polling trends, Republican congressional dynamics, and absence of formal resignation signals reinforce market pricing. Factors such as strong base support, policy agenda priorities, and institutional checks further reduce perceived resignation risk. Late-breaking developments including serious health events, major scandals triggering impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen family or legal pressures remain the primary variables that could still shift these odds before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,403Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.7% probability to "No" on Trump resigning before 2027, reflecting the rarity of presidential resignations and Trump's repeated public commitments to serve his full term amid ongoing political and legal developments. Historical patterns show most incumbents complete their terms absent acute crises, while recent polling trends, Republican congressional dynamics, and absence of formal resignation signals reinforce market pricing. Factors such as strong base support, policy agenda priorities, and institutional checks further reduce perceived resignation risk. Late-breaking developments including serious health events, major scandals triggering impeachment proceedings, or unforeseen family or legal pressures remain the primary variables that could still shift these odds before the 2027 cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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