Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting his established baseline cadence of roughly 20-25 posts per day during non-event weeks. Recent SpaceX Falcon 9 launch records, an all-hands update on AI revenue surpassing other segments, and routine company commentary have sustained steady engagement without triggering the viral spikes or controversies that historically push weekly totals above 200. The market’s tight clustering around mid-range brackets underscores the absence of major catalysts through mid-August, while lower-probability outcomes above 220 remain discounted absent sudden breaking developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui160-179 59%
180-199 26%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.6%
$1,831,460 Vol.
$1,831,460 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
11%
160-179
59%
180-199
26%
200-219
4%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 59%
180-199 26%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.6%
$1,831,460 Vol.
$1,831,460 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
$271,825 Vol.
11%
160-179
$155,518 Vol.
59%
180-199
$120,108 Vol.
26%
200-219
$106,598 Vol.
4%
220-239
$95,770 Vol.
1%
240-259
$127,546 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$107,908 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$91,008 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$83,049 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$43,368 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$42,323 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$29,969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$25,087 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$22,118 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$15,300 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,044 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,696 Vol.
<1%
500+
$43,869 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting his established baseline cadence of roughly 20-25 posts per day during non-event weeks. Recent SpaceX Falcon 9 launch records, an all-hands update on AI revenue surpassing other segments, and routine company commentary have sustained steady engagement without triggering the viral spikes or controversies that historically push weekly totals above 200. The market’s tight clustering around mid-range brackets underscores the absence of major catalysts through mid-August, while lower-probability outcomes above 220 remain discounted absent sudden breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,831,460Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting his established baseline cadence of roughly 20-25 posts per day during non-event weeks. Recent SpaceX Falcon 9 launch records, an all-hands update on AI revenue surpassing other segments, and routine company commentary have sustained steady engagement without triggering the viral spikes or controversies that historically push weekly totals above 200. The market’s tight clustering around mid-range brackets underscores the absence of major catalysts through mid-August, while lower-probability outcomes above 220 remain discounted absent sudden breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,831,460Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity positions the 160-179 tweet range as the clear frontrunner at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting his established baseline cadence of roughly 20-25 posts per day during non-event weeks. Recent SpaceX Falcon 9 launch records, an all-hands update on AI revenue surpassing other segments, and routine company commentary have sustained steady engagement without triggering the viral spikes or controversies that historically push weekly totals above 200. The market’s tight clustering around mid-range brackets underscores the absence of major catalysts through mid-August, while lower-probability outcomes above 220 remain discounted absent sudden breaking developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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