Elon Musk's posting pace through the first half of the August 14–21 window has centered the 140-159 and 160-179 buckets as the closest contenders at 27.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Daily volume has held steady in the mid-20s, fueled by routine SpaceX launch updates, xAI and Grok mentions, and Tesla-related commentary without major spikes or extended quiet periods. Historical weekly patterns show similar ranges during non-event weeks, while any late-week company milestones or external news could push totals higher or trigger replies that don't count toward resolution. Traders are weighing these baseline rhythms against the remaining four days for the narrow edge between the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui140-159 28%
160-179 26%
120-139 20.4%
180-199 14%
$869,412 Vol.
$869,412 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
7%
120-139
20%
140-159
28%
160-179
26%
180-199
14%
200-219
7%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 28%
160-179 26%
120-139 20.4%
180-199 14%
$869,412 Vol.
$869,412 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$47,045 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$89,195 Vol.
1%
100-119
$93,683 Vol.
7%
120-139
$58,899 Vol.
20%
140-159
$18,964 Vol.
28%
160-179
$26,178 Vol.
26%
180-199
$35,017 Vol.
14%
200-219
$18,656 Vol.
7%
220-239
$15,961 Vol.
2%
240-259
$21,338 Vol.
1%
260-279
$47,820 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$56,764 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$51,905 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$56,042 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$38,794 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$35,717 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$43,006 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$28,243 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$10,328 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$7,201 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,646 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$6,646 Vol.
<1%
500+
$48,717 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace through the first half of the August 14–21 window has centered the 140-159 and 160-179 buckets as the closest contenders at 27.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Daily volume has held steady in the mid-20s, fueled by routine SpaceX launch updates, xAI and Grok mentions, and Tesla-related commentary without major spikes or extended quiet periods. Historical weekly patterns show similar ranges during non-event weeks, while any late-week company milestones or external news could push totals higher or trigger replies that don't count toward resolution. Traders are weighing these baseline rhythms against the remaining four days for the narrow edge between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$869,412Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace through the first half of the August 14–21 window has centered the 140-159 and 160-179 buckets as the closest contenders at 27.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Daily volume has held steady in the mid-20s, fueled by routine SpaceX launch updates, xAI and Grok mentions, and Tesla-related commentary without major spikes or extended quiet periods. Historical weekly patterns show similar ranges during non-event weeks, while any late-week company milestones or external news could push totals higher or trigger replies that don't count toward resolution. Traders are weighing these baseline rhythms against the remaining four days for the narrow edge between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$869,412Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace through the first half of the August 14–21 window has centered the 140-159 and 160-179 buckets as the closest contenders at 27.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Daily volume has held steady in the mid-20s, fueled by routine SpaceX launch updates, xAI and Grok mentions, and Tesla-related commentary without major spikes or extended quiet periods. Historical weekly patterns show similar ranges during non-event weeks, while any late-week company milestones or external news could push totals higher or trigger replies that don't count toward resolution. Traders are weighing these baseline rhythms against the remaining four days for the narrow edge between the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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