**Trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 17–19 weekend centers on his established posting rhythm of roughly 8–15 posts per day, which favors the 40–64 bracket at 46.5% implied probability.** Recent tallies through mid-August show steady engagement tied to Tesla and SpaceX commentary plus platform updates, without major scheduled announcements or product launches that would reliably trigger sustained spikes. The short three-day window amplifies variance from Musk’s reactive style, keeping the sub-40 outcome at 34% while higher brackets remain thin at low single digits. A Starlink mission window overlapping the period and any breaking industry or cultural news could lift totals, but absent viral threads or controversies, historical weekend pacing supports moderate volume as the market’s base case.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui40-64 47%
<40 34%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
<40
34%
40-64
47%
65-89
17%
90-114
3%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
<40 34%
65-89 17%
90-114 2.6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
<40
$35 Vol.
34%
40-64
$37 Vol.
47%
65-89
$33 Vol.
17%
90-114
$74 Vol.
3%
115-139
$0 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$557 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$657 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$29 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$36 Vol.
<1%
240+
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 17–19 weekend centers on his established posting rhythm of roughly 8–15 posts per day, which favors the 40–64 bracket at 46.5% implied probability.** Recent tallies through mid-August show steady engagement tied to Tesla and SpaceX commentary plus platform updates, without major scheduled announcements or product launches that would reliably trigger sustained spikes. The short three-day window amplifies variance from Musk’s reactive style, keeping the sub-40 outcome at 34% while higher brackets remain thin at low single digits. A Starlink mission window overlapping the period and any breaking industry or cultural news could lift totals, but absent viral threads or controversies, historical weekend pacing supports moderate volume as the market’s base case.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,487Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 17–19 weekend centers on his established posting rhythm of roughly 8–15 posts per day, which favors the 40–64 bracket at 46.5% implied probability.** Recent tallies through mid-August show steady engagement tied to Tesla and SpaceX commentary plus platform updates, without major scheduled announcements or product launches that would reliably trigger sustained spikes. The short three-day window amplifies variance from Musk’s reactive style, keeping the sub-40 outcome at 34% while higher brackets remain thin at low single digits. A Starlink mission window overlapping the period and any breaking industry or cultural news could lift totals, but absent viral threads or controversies, historical weekend pacing supports moderate volume as the market’s base case.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,487Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 17–19 weekend centers on his established posting rhythm of roughly 8–15 posts per day, which favors the 40–64 bracket at 46.5% implied probability.** Recent tallies through mid-August show steady engagement tied to Tesla and SpaceX commentary plus platform updates, without major scheduled announcements or product launches that would reliably trigger sustained spikes. The short three-day window amplifies variance from Musk’s reactive style, keeping the sub-40 outcome at 34% while higher brackets remain thin at low single digits. A Starlink mission window overlapping the period and any breaking industry or cultural news could lift totals, but absent viral threads or controversies, historical weekend pacing supports moderate volume as the market’s base case.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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