Avengers: Doomsday commands 74% implied probability in the 2026 opening-weekend market because its May release date, Robert Downey Jr. return as Doctor Doom, and MCU crossover scale generate unmatched pre-sale and social-media momentum. Traders view the film as the clearest box-office behemoth since the pandemic, with historical precedent for Avengers-level launches dwarfing most competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds second place at 17% on the strength of Tom Holland’s established draw and confirmed December slot, yet lacks the same event weight. Animated entries like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sit below 4% as family films rarely crack the top opening weekend, while Dune: Messiah, The Odyssey, and Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu remain long shots pending confirmed dates and marketing surges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFilm mana yang memiliki akhir pekan pembukaan terbesar di tahun 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 17%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 Vol.
$1,570,601 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
17%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Film Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 17%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 Vol.
$1,570,601 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
17%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Film Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands 74% implied probability in the 2026 opening-weekend market because its May release date, Robert Downey Jr. return as Doctor Doom, and MCU crossover scale generate unmatched pre-sale and social-media momentum. Traders view the film as the clearest box-office behemoth since the pandemic, with historical precedent for Avengers-level launches dwarfing most competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds second place at 17% on the strength of Tom Holland’s established draw and confirmed December slot, yet lacks the same event weight. Animated entries like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie sit below 4% as family films rarely crack the top opening weekend, while Dune: Messiah, The Odyssey, and Star Wars: Mandalorian & Grogu remain long shots pending confirmed dates and marketing surges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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