California Senate Bill 1387, sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category when collecting ancestry or ethnic origin data on forms used for programs, applications, and reporting. The measure cleared the full Senate 33-0 and the Assembly Appropriations Committee 11-0 on August 13 with minimal reported opposition, advancing it toward floor votes before the legislative session ends. Proponents cite improved tracking of hate crimes, public health outreach, and demographic accuracy as primary goals. With broad institutional support and no significant procedural hurdles identified, trader consensus reflects high implied probability that the bill will complete passage and receive gubernatorial approval by year-end.
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category when collecting ancestry or ethnic origin data on forms used for programs, applications, and reporting. The measure cleared the full Senate 33-0 and the Assembly Appropriations Committee 11-0 on August 13 with minimal reported opposition, advancing it toward floor votes before the legislative session ends. Proponents cite improved tracking of hate crimes, public health outreach, and demographic accuracy as primary goals. With broad institutional support and no significant procedural hurdles identified, trader consensus reflects high implied probability that the bill will complete passage and receive gubernatorial approval by year-end.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,270Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category when collecting ancestry or ethnic origin data on forms used for programs, applications, and reporting. The measure cleared the full Senate 33-0 and the Assembly Appropriations Committee 11-0 on August 13 with minimal reported opposition, advancing it toward floor votes before the legislative session ends. Proponents cite improved tracking of hate crimes, public health outreach, and demographic accuracy as primary goals. With broad institutional support and no significant procedural hurdles identified, trader consensus reflects high implied probability that the bill will complete passage and receive gubernatorial approval by year-end.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,270Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387, sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by Jewish California, would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category when collecting ancestry or ethnic origin data on forms used for programs, applications, and reporting. The measure cleared the full Senate 33-0 and the Assembly Appropriations Committee 11-0 on August 13 with minimal reported opposition, advancing it toward floor votes before the legislative session ends. Proponents cite improved tracking of hate crimes, public health outreach, and demographic accuracy as primary goals. With broad institutional support and no significant procedural hurdles identified, trader consensus reflects high implied probability that the bill will complete passage and receive gubernatorial approval by year-end.
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