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Politik·Primer

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?
Politik·Primer

Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?

James Parkin 74%

Matt Claman 74%

Tom Begich 66%

Matt Heilala 25%

Polymarket
BARU

James Parkin 74%

Matt Claman 74%

Tom Begich 66%

Matt Heilala 25%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$25 Vol.

74%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$25 Vol.

74%

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$208 Vol.

66%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$51 Vol.

25%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$20 Vol.

24%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$80 Vol.

23%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$80 Vol.

21%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$80 Vol.

19%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$50 Vol.

19%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$67 Vol.

18%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$53 Vol.

15%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$51 Vol.

15%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$20 Vol.

14%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$54 Vol.

12%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$20 Vol.

11%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$20 Vol.

11%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$20 Vol.

11%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$20 Vol.

9%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Tom Begich leads trader consensus for first place in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary due to consistent polling advantages in a crowded 17-candidate field that fragments Republican support. Recent July surveys from Change Research and Alaska Survey Research show Begich ahead or competitive with frontrunners like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and Bernadette Wilson, bolstered by his name recognition and focus on fiscal and education issues. A late July Anchorage candidate forum drew most contenders but produced no major shifts. Vote splitting among multiple Republicans and independents like Bill Walker keeps Begich's implied probability elevated ahead of the ranked-choice primary that advances the top four to November. Late endorsements or turnout patterns could still alter final positioning before results.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$984
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Tom Begich leads trader consensus for first place in Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary due to consistent polling advantages in a crowded 17-candidate field that fragments Republican support. Recent July surveys from Change Research and Alaska Survey Research show Begich ahead or competitive with frontrunners like Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and Bernadette Wilson, bolstered by his name recognition and focus on fiscal and education issues. A late July Anchorage candidate forum drew most contenders but produced no major shifts. Vote splitting among multiple Republicans and independents like Bill Walker keeps Begich's implied probability elevated ahead of the ranked-choice primary that advances the top four to November. Late endorsements or turnout patterns could still alter final positioning before results.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$984
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Terkait

icon for Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

100%
icon for Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

53%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Begich" di 66%, diikuti oleh "James Parkin" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 66¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah "Tom Begich" di 66%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 66% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "James Parkin" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will place first in the Alaska Governor primary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.