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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California

icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California

Xavier Becerra 51.0%

Tom Steyer 31.6%

Steve Hilton 9.9%

Chad Bianco 3.1%

Polymarket

$22,265,630 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 51.0%

Tom Steyer 31.6%

Steve Hilton 9.9%

Chad Bianco 3.1%

Polymarket

$22,265,630 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$864,902 Vol.

51%

Tom Steyer

$3,311,878 Vol.

32%

Steve Hilton

$1,230,662 Vol.

10%

Chad Bianco

$1,235,780 Vol.

3%

Katie Porter

$1,069,365 Vol.

2%

Matt Mahan

$745,183 Vol.

1%

Elaine Culotti

$476,014 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$662,126 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$746,642 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$834,233 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$711,662 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$846,755 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$900,828 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$930,141 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,388,202 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$988,750 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$716,904 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$756,681 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$951,896 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$627,430 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$756,472 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$807,668 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$712,211 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra leads the California governor race in trader consensus at 50.9 percent, reflecting his strong statewide profile from prior service as attorney general and current cabinet position that provides broad Democratic recognition ahead of the June primary. Tom Steyer sits at 31.6 percent, buoyed by his established fundraising network and past statewide campaigns. Steve Hilton holds third at 9.9 percent as the clearest Republican option through consistent media visibility and conservative policy emphasis. Katie Porter and other listed Democrats trail further due to narrower name identification and later entry dynamics. Recent polling averages and donor patterns have sustained these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$22,265,630
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Xavier Becerra leads the California governor race in trader consensus at 50.9 percent, reflecting his strong statewide profile from prior service as attorney general and current cabinet position that provides broad Democratic recognition ahead of the June primary. Tom Steyer sits at 31.6 percent, buoyed by his established fundraising network and past statewide campaigns. Steve Hilton holds third at 9.9 percent as the clearest Republican option through consistent media visibility and conservative policy emphasis. Katie Porter and other listed Democrats trail further due to narrower name identification and later entry dynamics. Recent polling averages and donor patterns have sustained these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$22,265,630
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 23 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Tom Steyer" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" telah menghasilkan $22.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 9, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California," jelajahi 23 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" adalah "Xavier Becerra" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tom Steyer" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur California" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.