Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying for four spots that advance to a November ranked-choice general election, following term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich well ahead at roughly 44 percent, with Republican Bernadette Wilson, former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, and former state senator Click Bishop clustered behind as the clearest contenders for the remaining slots. Bill Walker and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins trail further back. Developments shaping sentiment include the release of multi-newsroom voter guides in early August, the start of early voting, and consistent survey data showing Begich’s lead and a tight battle among the top Republicans for the final advancement positions. No major late shifts or endorsements have altered the frontrunner ordering in the final days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$259,695 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
93%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Dave Bronson
52%

Treg Taylor
27%

Click Bishop
25%

Bill Walker
24%

Adam Crum
9%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Matt Heilala
2%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Edna DeVries
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Bruce Walden
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
$259,695 Vol.

Tom Begich
99%

Bernadette Wilson
93%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Dave Bronson
52%

Treg Taylor
27%

Click Bishop
25%

Bill Walker
24%

Adam Crum
9%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Matt Heilala
2%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Edna DeVries
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Bruce Walden
1%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying for four spots that advance to a November ranked-choice general election, following term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich well ahead at roughly 44 percent, with Republican Bernadette Wilson, former Anchorage mayor Dave Bronson, and former state senator Click Bishop clustered behind as the clearest contenders for the remaining slots. Bill Walker and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins trail further back. Developments shaping sentiment include the release of multi-newsroom voter guides in early August, the start of early voting, and consistent survey data showing Begich’s lead and a tight battle among the top Republicans for the final advancement positions. No major late shifts or endorsements have altered the frontrunner ordering in the final days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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