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Politik·Primer

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-07 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner

Ryan Elijah 79%

Cory Mills 17%

Sarah Ulrich 11%

Mike Johnson 8%

Polymarket
BARU

Ryan Elijah 79%

Cory Mills 17%

Sarah Ulrich 11%

Mike Johnson 8%

Polymarket
BARU

Ryan Elijah

$113 Vol.

79%

Cory Mills

$129 Vol.

17%

Sarah Ulrich

$20 Vol.

11%

Mike Johnson

$23 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds a strong lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as a former Emmy-winning news anchor and local figure. The incumbent Cory Mills trails significantly amid ethics investigations, low cash on hand reported in recent filings, and prior allegations that have drawn primary challengers. Recent endorsements for Elijah from Volusia County Sheriff Mike Chitwood and state Sen. Tom Wright have reinforced his momentum in key areas like Seminole and Volusia counties. Other candidates including Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register lower probabilities, consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower name recognition this close to the vote. The primary outcome hinges on turnout among Republican voters assessing Mills' vulnerabilities against Elijah's local profile and fundraising trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$285
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ryan Elijah holds a strong lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District, reflecting trader consensus on his advantages as a former Emmy-winning news anchor and local figure. The incumbent Cory Mills trails significantly amid ethics investigations, low cash on hand reported in recent filings, and prior allegations that have drawn primary challengers. Recent endorsements for Elijah from Volusia County Sheriff Mike Chitwood and state Sen. Tom Wright have reinforced his momentum in key areas like Seminole and Volusia counties. Other candidates including Michael Johnson and Sarah Ulrich register lower probabilities, consistent with limited polling visibility and narrower name recognition this close to the vote. The primary outcome hinges on turnout among Republican voters assessing Mills' vulnerabilities against Elijah's local profile and fundraising trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$285
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-07 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Ryan Elijah" di 79%, diikuti oleh "Cory Mills" di 17%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 79¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"FL-07 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "FL-07 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-07 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Ryan Elijah" di 79%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 79% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Cory Mills" di 17%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-07 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.