Israel’s 26th Knesset election remains fixed for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timetable in July following earlier dissolution talks, ending speculation of an earlier vote and marking the first scheduled election without early dissolution since 1988. With the campaign period underway and candidate lists submitted, no procedural or political developments have altered the statutory schedule. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “Yes” reflects this legal certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms or coalition incentives to shift the date. Late-stage disruptions, such as a major security escalation or unforeseen institutional barriers, could theoretically intervene, though none have materialized in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui95% peluang
$10,174 Vol.
$10,174 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
95% peluang
$10,174 Vol.
$10,174 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s 26th Knesset election remains fixed for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timetable in July following earlier dissolution talks, ending speculation of an earlier vote and marking the first scheduled election without early dissolution since 1988. With the campaign period underway and candidate lists submitted, no procedural or political developments have altered the statutory schedule. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “Yes” reflects this legal certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms or coalition incentives to shift the date. Late-stage disruptions, such as a major security escalation or unforeseen institutional barriers, could theoretically intervene, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$10,174Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel’s 26th Knesset election remains fixed for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timetable in July following earlier dissolution talks, ending speculation of an earlier vote and marking the first scheduled election without early dissolution since 1988. With the campaign period underway and candidate lists submitted, no procedural or political developments have altered the statutory schedule. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “Yes” reflects this legal certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms or coalition incentives to shift the date. Late-stage disruptions, such as a major security escalation or unforeseen institutional barriers, could theoretically intervene, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,174Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s 26th Knesset election remains fixed for October 27, 2026, the latest date permitted under law after the 25th Knesset completed its full four-year term and dissolved on July 17. Coalition leaders confirmed the timetable in July following earlier dissolution talks, ending speculation of an earlier vote and marking the first scheduled election without early dissolution since 1988. With the campaign period underway and candidate lists submitted, no procedural or political developments have altered the statutory schedule. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “Yes” reflects this legal certainty and the absence of viable mechanisms or coalition incentives to shift the date. Late-stage disruptions, such as a major security escalation or unforeseen institutional barriers, could theoretically intervene, though none have materialized in recent months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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