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icon for Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Dunia·Kepresidenan Trump

Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?

icon for Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?
Dunia·Kepresidenan Trump

Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$7,519,322 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,519,322 Vol.

Polymarket

31 Desember

$546,688 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing U.S. military operations against Iran under Operation Epic Fury since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, and a fragile April ceasefire now on "life support" after President Trump's May 10 rejection of Tehran's proposal—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. Senate votes this week rejected bipartisan resolutions to limit executive war powers, reflecting GOP support for the administration amid $29 billion in costs and stalled diplomacy. Iran vows no retreat while preparing drills, but historical precedent shows formal declarations are rare post-World War II, with traders eyeing upcoming negotiations, potential escalations, and congressional briefings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,519,322
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite ongoing U.S. military operations against Iran under Operation Epic Fury since February 28, 2026—including airstrikes, naval blockades in the Strait of Hormuz, and a fragile April ceasefire now on "life support" after President Trump's May 10 rejection of Tehran's proposal—no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred, as required by Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. Senate votes this week rejected bipartisan resolutions to limit executive war powers, reflecting GOP support for the administration amid $29 billion in costs and stalled diplomacy. Iran vows no retreat while preparing drills, but historical precedent shows formal declarations are rare post-World War II, with traders eyeing upcoming negotiations, potential escalations, and congressional briefings as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,519,322
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "31 Desember" di 8%, diikuti oleh "31 Maret" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?" telah menghasilkan $7.5 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 12, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?" adalah "31 Desember" di hanya 8%, dengan "31 Maret" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Apakah AS akan secara resmi menyatakan perang terhadap Iran dengan...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.