US opposition to any fees or tolls on Strait of Hormuz transit remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on whether Washington will itself impose charges. Following the 2026 US-Iran conflict and the June framework agreement, which mandated a 60-day toll-free period ending in August, Iran and Oman advanced proposals for voluntary service fees tied to navigation, environmental measures, or pilotage. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials have repeatedly rejected monetization under any label, citing international law on free passage through straits and warning of precedent risks at other chokepoints. A brief July Trump proposal for a US 20% cargo fee was quickly reversed in favor of Gulf investment deals. Negotiations on long-term administration continue without scheduled resolution, leaving open whether US policy shifts amid stalled talks or new diplomatic pressure.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$972,755 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$972,755 Vol.
December 31
$104,451 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US opposition to any fees or tolls on Strait of Hormuz transit remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on whether Washington will itself impose charges. Following the 2026 US-Iran conflict and the June framework agreement, which mandated a 60-day toll-free period ending in August, Iran and Oman advanced proposals for voluntary service fees tied to navigation, environmental measures, or pilotage. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials have repeatedly rejected monetization under any label, citing international law on free passage through straits and warning of precedent risks at other chokepoints. A brief July Trump proposal for a US 20% cargo fee was quickly reversed in favor of Gulf investment deals. Negotiations on long-term administration continue without scheduled resolution, leaving open whether US policy shifts amid stalled talks or new diplomatic pressure.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$972,755Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US opposition to any fees or tolls on Strait of Hormuz transit remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on whether Washington will itself impose charges. Following the 2026 US-Iran conflict and the June framework agreement, which mandated a 60-day toll-free period ending in August, Iran and Oman advanced proposals for voluntary service fees tied to navigation, environmental measures, or pilotage. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials have repeatedly rejected monetization under any label, citing international law on free passage through straits and warning of precedent risks at other chokepoints. A brief July Trump proposal for a US 20% cargo fee was quickly reversed in favor of Gulf investment deals. Negotiations on long-term administration continue without scheduled resolution, leaving open whether US policy shifts amid stalled talks or new diplomatic pressure.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$972,755Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US opposition to any fees or tolls on Strait of Hormuz transit remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on whether Washington will itself impose charges. Following the 2026 US-Iran conflict and the June framework agreement, which mandated a 60-day toll-free period ending in August, Iran and Oman advanced proposals for voluntary service fees tied to navigation, environmental measures, or pilotage. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials have repeatedly rejected monetization under any label, citing international law on free passage through straits and warning of precedent risks at other chokepoints. A brief July Trump proposal for a US 20% cargo fee was quickly reversed in favor of Gulf investment deals. Negotiations on long-term administration continue without scheduled resolution, leaving open whether US policy shifts amid stalled talks or new diplomatic pressure.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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