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Politik·Timur Tengah

Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?

icon for Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?
Politik·Timur Tengah

Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$567,203 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$567,203 Vol.

Polymarket

Somaliland

$61,741 Vol.

35%

Lebanon

$58,017 Vol.

14%

Azerbaijan

$43,147 Vol.

13%

Oman

$145,328 Vol.

13%

Kuwait

$22,614 Vol.

13%

Arab Saudi

$89,001 Vol.

13%

Suriah

$147,356 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,203
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. diplomacy under the second Trump administration produced Kazakhstan’s formal accession to the Abraham Accords in late 2025, while Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland prompted that territory to pledge normalization, positioning it as the market’s leading candidate through shared security interests. Saudi Arabia continues technical talks but has tied any deal to verifiable Palestinian statehood progress and a Gaza ceasefire, with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman rejecting immediate entry. Other contenders such as Azerbaijan, Lebanon, and Syria face domestic and regional constraints, including Iranian influence and internal political hurdles. Upcoming U.S.-Saudi summits and potential Gaza agreement phases could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$567,203
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Somaliland" di 35%, diikuti oleh "Lebanon" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 35¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?" telah menghasilkan $567.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?" adalah "Somaliland" di 35%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 35% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Lebanon" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Negara mana yang akan bergabung dengan Perjanjian Abraham sebelum 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.