Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict advanced past the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with reports of forces reaching Choukine outskirts alongside strikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, leading to a framework for phased Israeli withdrawals from designated zones and Lebanese army deployment starting in July. Subsequent diplomatic talks have addressed security arrangements and Hezbollah disarmament, yet Israeli forces have conducted ongoing strikes, artillery fire, and incremental expansions beyond the self-declared "yellow line" or security zone into September. Trader assessments of any qualifying ground entry into the Choukine municipality by specific deadlines hinge on confirmation of troops on the ground rather than aerial activity, alongside the pace of de-escalation or renewed clashes before resolution windows close. Upcoming US-mediated negotiations in October could influence further movements or withdrawals.