The shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline following drone attacks around September 10 has driven recent trader focus, with the line previously carrying 4–5 million barrels per day—roughly 4–5% of global supply—from eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu as an alternative to the constrained Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated on September 15 that flows could resume within days based on ongoing assessments, though other sources cite potential repair timelines of one to six weeks depending on pumping-station damage and any follow-on incidents. Aramco has already canceled or delayed late-September European cargoes amid low Yanbu inventories, while Saudi crude output sits at multi-decade lows near 6 million barrels per day. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on near-term damage reports, partial restart feasibility, and any escalation in regional attacks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$226,793 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 15
<1%
September 30
49%
$226,793 Vol.
September 15
$86,554 Vol.
<1%
September 30
$140,239 Vol.
49%
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
The shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline following drone attacks around September 10 has driven recent trader focus, with the line previously carrying 4–5 million barrels per day—roughly 4–5% of global supply—from eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu as an alternative to the constrained Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated on September 15 that flows could resume within days based on ongoing assessments, though other sources cite potential repair timelines of one to six weeks depending on pumping-station damage and any follow-on incidents. Aramco has already canceled or delayed late-September European cargoes amid low Yanbu inventories, while Saudi crude output sits at multi-decade lows near 6 million barrels per day. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on near-term damage reports, partial restart feasibility, and any escalation in regional attacks.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$226,793Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
The shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline following drone attacks around September 10 has driven recent trader focus, with the line previously carrying 4–5 million barrels per day—roughly 4–5% of global supply—from eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu as an alternative to the constrained Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated on September 15 that flows could resume within days based on ongoing assessments, though other sources cite potential repair timelines of one to six weeks depending on pumping-station damage and any follow-on incidents. Aramco has already canceled or delayed late-September European cargoes amid low Yanbu inventories, while Saudi crude output sits at multi-decade lows near 6 million barrels per day. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on near-term damage reports, partial restart feasibility, and any escalation in regional attacks.
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Volume
$226,793Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline following drone attacks around September 10 has driven recent trader focus, with the line previously carrying 4–5 million barrels per day—roughly 4–5% of global supply—from eastern fields to the Red Sea port of Yanbu as an alternative to the constrained Strait of Hormuz. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright stated on September 15 that flows could resume within days based on ongoing assessments, though other sources cite potential repair timelines of one to six weeks depending on pumping-station damage and any follow-on incidents. Aramco has already canceled or delayed late-September European cargoes amid low Yanbu inventories, while Saudi crude output sits at multi-decade lows near 6 million barrels per day. Market-implied odds will likely hinge on near-term damage reports, partial restart feasibility, and any escalation in regional attacks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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