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Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

icon for Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026
Politik·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Paus Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,386,333 Vol.

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 5.7%

UNRWA 4.3%

Paus Leo XIV 3.1%

Polymarket

$23,386,333 Vol.

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$290,593 Vol.

9%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$790,383 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,044,316 Vol.

4%

icon for Paus Leo XIV

Paus Leo XIV

$811,759 Vol.

3%

icon for Mahkamah Internasional

Mahkamah Internasional

$904,330 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,346,266 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$782,546 Vol.

2%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$849,595 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$685,776 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,452,345 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,261,796 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$627,530 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,434,007 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$866,185 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,053,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$692,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,172,700 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,244,885 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,171,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$904,356 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The crowded field of 287 nominees for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with the winner to be announced October 9, has kept implied probabilities tightly bunched and low across the board. Yulia Navalnaya edges ahead on trader consensus thanks to her high-profile continuation of her late husband Alexei Navalny’s opposition work against the Russian regime, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy draws support from sustained international focus on Ukraine’s defense. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit close behind, reflecting the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s historical preference for institutional efforts over individuals in recent cycles. Donald Trump’s modest odds stem from publicized nominations by several world leaders, though the committee’s secrecy and past snubs of controversial figures limit momentum. With no dominant precursor signals and the announcement still weeks away, traders see little separating the top contenders amid the broad, unpredictable slate.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,386,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The crowded field of 287 nominees for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with the winner to be announced October 9, has kept implied probabilities tightly bunched and low across the board. Yulia Navalnaya edges ahead on trader consensus thanks to her high-profile continuation of her late husband Alexei Navalny’s opposition work against the Russian regime, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy draws support from sustained international focus on Ukraine’s defense. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice sit close behind, reflecting the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s historical preference for institutional efforts over individuals in recent cycles. Donald Trump’s modest odds stem from publicized nominations by several world leaders, though the committee’s secrecy and past snubs of controversial figures limit momentum. With no dominant precursor signals and the announcement still weeks away, traders see little separating the top contenders amid the broad, unpredictable slate.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$23,386,333
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Terkait

icon for Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

6%
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

6%
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Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Yulia Navalnaya" di 9%, diikuti oleh "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" di 6%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 9¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" telah menghasilkan $23.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah "Yulia Navalnaya" di hanya 9%, dengan "Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mengejar ketat di 6%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.