Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a potential 2028 Republican presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, describing himself as someone who avoids premature decisions. As of mid-September 2026, he remains the leading GOP contender in early polling, actively campaigning for Republicans at the party's midterm convention, promoting his memoir, and drawing "48" chants from supporters, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled no plans to run. Vance's team has conducted no early-state organizing or polling, and no public statements or developments indicate an imminent announcement ruling out a candidacy before year's end. Trader consensus at 94.5% against such an announcement this year reflects these deferred timelines and Vance's ongoing profile-building within the Trump-aligned coalition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui6% peluang
$18,813 Vol.
$18,813 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% peluang
$18,813 Vol.
$18,813 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a potential 2028 Republican presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, describing himself as someone who avoids premature decisions. As of mid-September 2026, he remains the leading GOP contender in early polling, actively campaigning for Republicans at the party's midterm convention, promoting his memoir, and drawing "48" chants from supporters, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled no plans to run. Vance's team has conducted no early-state organizing or polling, and no public statements or developments indicate an imminent announcement ruling out a candidacy before year's end. Trader consensus at 94.5% against such an announcement this year reflects these deferred timelines and Vance's ongoing profile-building within the Trump-aligned coalition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Volume
$18,813Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a potential 2028 Republican presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, describing himself as someone who avoids premature decisions. As of mid-September 2026, he remains the leading GOP contender in early polling, actively campaigning for Republicans at the party's midterm convention, promoting his memoir, and drawing "48" chants from supporters, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled no plans to run. Vance's team has conducted no early-state organizing or polling, and no public statements or developments indicate an imminent announcement ruling out a candidacy before year's end. Trader consensus at 94.5% against such an announcement this year reflects these deferred timelines and Vance's ongoing profile-building within the Trump-aligned coalition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$18,813Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has repeatedly stated that he and his wife will evaluate a potential 2028 Republican presidential bid only after the November 2026 midterms, describing himself as someone who avoids premature decisions. As of mid-September 2026, he remains the leading GOP contender in early polling, actively campaigning for Republicans at the party's midterm convention, promoting his memoir, and drawing "48" chants from supporters, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled no plans to run. Vance's team has conducted no early-state organizing or polling, and no public statements or developments indicate an imminent announcement ruling out a candidacy before year's end. Trader consensus at 94.5% against such an announcement this year reflects these deferred timelines and Vance's ongoing profile-building within the Trump-aligned coalition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan