Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Trump - USA President 96%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 88%
Albanese - Australia PM 88%
Milei - Argentina President 88%
Trump - USA President
96%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
88%
Albanese - Australia PM
88%
Milei - Argentina President
88%
Putin - Russia President
88%
Takaichi - Japan PM
88%
Abbas - President of Palestine
88%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
88%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
88%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
88%
Merz - German Chancellor
88%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
88%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
88%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
88%
None before 2027
88%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
88%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
88%
Newsom - California Governor
88%
Lecornu - France PM
88%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
88%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
45%
Macron - France President
45%
Trump - USA President 96%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 88%
Albanese - Australia PM 88%
Milei - Argentina President 88%
Trump - USA President
96%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
88%
Albanese - Australia PM
88%
Milei - Argentina President
88%
Putin - Russia President
88%
Takaichi - Japan PM
88%
Abbas - President of Palestine
88%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
88%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
88%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
88%
Merz - German Chancellor
88%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
88%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
88%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
88%
None before 2027
88%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
88%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
88%
Newsom - California Governor
88%
Lecornu - France PM
88%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
88%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
45%
Macron - France President
45%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan