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icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Alaska Senate Election Winner

icon for Alaska Senate Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola 51%

Dan Sullivan 49%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$393,235 Vol.

Mary Peltola 51%

Dan Sullivan 49%

Dustin Darden <1%

Ann Diener <1%

Polymarket

$393,235 Vol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$194,641 Vol.

51%

icon for Dan Sullivan

Dan Sullivan

$115,275 Vol.

49%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$23,336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ann Diener

Ann Diener

$36,064 Vol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$23,919 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research places former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola narrowly ahead of incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her strong fundraising edge and favorable voter impressions on character and independence. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary on August 18, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general election, keeps the contest fluid as multiple candidates advance. Sullivan’s incumbency and party infrastructure provide counterbalance in a state that has trended competitive federally. The sub-3-point spread in trader pricing captures these offsetting dynamics, with any shift in primary turnout, late endorsements, or national Senate control stakes likely to widen the gap before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$393,235
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research places former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola narrowly ahead of incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan in head-to-head matchups, reflecting her strong fundraising edge and favorable voter impressions on character and independence. Alaska’s nonpartisan primary on August 18, followed by ranked-choice voting in the general election, keeps the contest fluid as multiple candidates advance. Sullivan’s incumbency and party infrastructure provide counterbalance in a state that has trended competitive federally. The sub-3-point spread in trader pricing captures these offsetting dynamics, with any shift in primary turnout, late endorsements, or national Senate control stakes likely to widen the gap before November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$393,235
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

56%
Ya
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?

87%
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

35%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Alaska Senate Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mary Peltola" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Dan Sullivan" di 49%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Alaska Senate Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $393.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Alaska Senate Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Alaska Senate Election Winner" adalah "Mary Peltola" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Dan Sullivan" di 49%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Alaska Senate Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.