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Okinawa Governor Election Winner

icon for Okinawa Governor Election Winner

Okinawa Governor Election Winner

Denny Tamaki 67%

Genta Koja 28%

Mikio Shimoji 3.7%

Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.4%

Polymarket
BARU

Denny Tamaki 67%

Genta Koja 28%

Mikio Shimoji 3.7%

Masahiro Sueyoshi 3.4%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Denny Tamaki

Denny Tamaki

$364 Vol.

67%

icon for Genta Koja

Genta Koja

$158 Vol.

28%

icon for Mikio Shimoji

Mikio Shimoji

$179 Vol.

4%

icon for Masahiro Sueyoshi

Masahiro Sueyoshi

$110 Vol.

3%

icon for Shun Kaneshima

Shun Kaneshima

$96 Vol.

3%

icon for Chosuke Yara

Chosuke Yara

$119 Vol.

1%

icon for Takashi Higa

Takashi Higa

$140 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Denny Tamaki, the incumbent Okinawa governor since 2018, leads the September 13, 2026, gubernatorial race at 66.5% in trader pricing, reflecting his repeated victories in 2018 and 2022 on an anti-base-relocation platform backed by the All Okinawa coalition. Recent announcements, including his April 2026 third-term bid and August 12 policy outline emphasizing dialogue with Tokyo over U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma relocation to Henoko, have reinforced his position ahead of the vote. Genta Koja, the main challenger at 27.5% and a former Naha deputy mayor likely endorsed by the Liberal Democratic Party, offers a contrasting stance more open to the relocation plan, drawing support from shifting post-February general election alignments that have introduced some uncertainty for Tamaki. Lower-priced candidates trail due to limited visibility and organizational backing in this closely watched contest over prefectural control of U.S. military issues.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$1,166
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Denny Tamaki, the incumbent Okinawa governor since 2018, leads the September 13, 2026, gubernatorial race at 66.5% in trader pricing, reflecting his repeated victories in 2018 and 2022 on an anti-base-relocation platform backed by the All Okinawa coalition. Recent announcements, including his April 2026 third-term bid and August 12 policy outline emphasizing dialogue with Tokyo over U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma relocation to Henoko, have reinforced his position ahead of the vote. Genta Koja, the main challenger at 27.5% and a former Naha deputy mayor likely endorsed by the Liberal Democratic Party, offers a contrasting stance more open to the relocation plan, drawing support from shifting post-February general election alignments that have introduced some uncertainty for Tamaki. Lower-priced candidates trail due to limited visibility and organizational backing in this closely watched contest over prefectural control of U.S. military issues.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$1,166
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Okinawa Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Denny Tamaki" di 67%, diikuti oleh "Genta Koja" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 67¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Okinawa Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 12, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Okinawa Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" adalah "Denny Tamaki" di 67%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 67% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Genta Koja" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.