Robert F. Kennedy Jr. remains HHS Secretary following his February 2025 Senate confirmation, with no verified announcements of resignation or removal as of mid-August 2026. Recent activity includes multiple congressional testimonies on the administration’s 2026 health budget and policy priorities, alongside department initiatives on transplants and oversight. HHS quickly denied June rumors of an impending departure, while Kennedy has publicly highlighted his schedule and accomplishments in response to reports of limited engagement. These factors, combined with the absence of major new political or institutional pressures for change, underpin traders’ 68% implied probability that he will not exit the position before year-end. Scheduled budget hearings and ongoing agency management provide limited near-term catalysts for departure.