Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, including recent proposals for temporary enrichment limits or downblending of stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus near 50 percent. Iran has signaled openness to monitored reductions aligned with prior JCPOA standards while asserting its NPT rights to enrichment, yet has rejected extended moratoriums or full stockpile transfers. U.S. demands for substantial curbs remain central sticking points in Oman-mediated talks following earlier ceasefires. Further progress in upcoming diplomatic rounds or concrete commitments could raise implied probabilities, whereas renewed tensions or hardened positions might sustain the competitive equilibrium through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$194,991 Vol.
$194,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$194,991 Vol.
$194,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, including recent proposals for temporary enrichment limits or downblending of stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus near 50 percent. Iran has signaled openness to monitored reductions aligned with prior JCPOA standards while asserting its NPT rights to enrichment, yet has rejected extended moratoriums or full stockpile transfers. U.S. demands for substantial curbs remain central sticking points in Oman-mediated talks following earlier ceasefires. Further progress in upcoming diplomatic rounds or concrete commitments could raise implied probabilities, whereas renewed tensions or hardened positions might sustain the competitive equilibrium through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$194,991Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, including recent proposals for temporary enrichment limits or downblending of stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus near 50 percent. Iran has signaled openness to monitored reductions aligned with prior JCPOA standards while asserting its NPT rights to enrichment, yet has rejected extended moratoriums or full stockpile transfers. U.S. demands for substantial curbs remain central sticking points in Oman-mediated talks following earlier ceasefires. Further progress in upcoming diplomatic rounds or concrete commitments could raise implied probabilities, whereas renewed tensions or hardened positions might sustain the competitive equilibrium through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$194,991Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, including recent proposals for temporary enrichment limits or downblending of stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus near 50 percent. Iran has signaled openness to monitored reductions aligned with prior JCPOA standards while asserting its NPT rights to enrichment, yet has rejected extended moratoriums or full stockpile transfers. U.S. demands for substantial curbs remain central sticking points in Oman-mediated talks following earlier ceasefires. Further progress in upcoming diplomatic rounds or concrete commitments could raise implied probabilities, whereas renewed tensions or hardened positions might sustain the competitive equilibrium through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan