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Politik·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politik·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Elly Schlein 19%

Angelo Bonelli 12.7%

Silvia Salis 9.8%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Elly Schlein 19%

Angelo Bonelli 12.7%

Silvia Salis 9.8%

Polymarket

$14,277 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,475 Vol.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Vol.

19%

Giuseppe Conte

$861 Vol.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Vol.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Vol.

3%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Vol.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Vol.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,064 Vol.

10%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,063 Vol.

7%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Vol.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Vol.

13%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the trader consensus frontrunner at 42.5% to serve as Italy's next prime minister despite her government's defeat in the March 22-23 constitutional referendum on judicial reform, where 54% rejected changes to judicial oversight, signaling vulnerabilities amid energy price spikes and coalition strains. This setback ended her post-2022 honeymoon but has not triggered a snap election or no-confidence vote, with her Brothers of Italy still leading polls ahead of the general election due by December 2027. Fragmented opposition boosts Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party to 18.5%, while Angelo Bonelli of the Greens and emerging progressive Silvia Salis—fresh off a Genoa mayoral win—trail at 13.6% and 9.8%, reflecting coalition negotiation challenges in Italy's proportional representation system.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the trader consensus frontrunner at 42.5% to serve as Italy's next prime minister despite her government's defeat in the March 22-23 constitutional referendum on judicial reform, where 54% rejected changes to judicial oversight, signaling vulnerabilities amid energy price spikes and coalition strains. This setback ended her post-2022 honeymoon but has not triggered a snap election or no-confidence vote, with her Brothers of Italy still leading polls ahead of the general election due by December 2027. Fragmented opposition boosts Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party to 18.5%, while Angelo Bonelli of the Greens and emerging progressive Silvia Salis—fresh off a Genoa mayoral win—trail at 13.6% and 9.8%, reflecting coalition negotiation challenges in Italy's proportional representation system.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Italy?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Giorgia Meloni" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Elly Schlein" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" telah menghasilkan $14.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Italy?," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" adalah "Giorgia Meloni" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Elly Schlein" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Italy?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.