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Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

BARU
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

July 30

$0 Vol.

47%

September 30

$0 Vol.

47%

December 31

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress have enabled use of the budget reconciliation process to advance immigration enforcement funding and other priorities with a simple majority vote, bypassing the filibuster. The Senate passed a roughly $70 billion package focused on ICE and CBP funding (S.2) on June 5, 2026, by a 52-47 vote after committee markups and amendment sessions, with the House following days later. Some Republican lawmakers have since floated a follow-on “Reconciliation 3.0” measure that could include defense spending, tax provisions, or safety-net changes, though timing remains uncertain ahead of the August recess and fall appropriations deadlines. Trader views reflect the procedural advantages of reconciliation under current partisan control alongside the compressed legislative calendar that could limit additional packages.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican majorities in Congress have enabled use of the budget reconciliation process to advance immigration enforcement funding and other priorities with a simple majority vote, bypassing the filibuster. The Senate passed a roughly $70 billion package focused on ICE and CBP funding (S.2) on June 5, 2026, by a 52-47 vote after committee markups and amendment sessions, with the House following days later. Some Republican lawmakers have since floated a follow-on “Reconciliation 3.0” measure that could include defense spending, tax provisions, or safety-net changes, though timing remains uncertain ahead of the August recess and fall appropriations deadlines. Trader views reflect the procedural advantages of reconciliation under current partisan control alongside the compressed legislative calendar that could limit additional packages.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "July 30" di 47%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 47%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" adalah "July 30" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 47%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.