Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 61.5% trader consensus that Donald Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple House Democrats have already introduced resolutions citing executive actions and public statements during the 2026 Iran conflict, including Truth Social posts interpreted by critics as threats of disproportionate force. Planning documents and public statements indicate that, if Democrats secure a majority, articles could advance quickly in 2027. Traders weigh the low historical bar for House passage against Republican Senate majorities that make conviction improbable, while noting the resolution window extends through the full term and any escalation in partisan legislative conflict.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
62% peluang
$89,039 Vol.
$89,039 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
62% peluang
$89,039 Vol.
$89,039 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 61.5% trader consensus that Donald Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple House Democrats have already introduced resolutions citing executive actions and public statements during the 2026 Iran conflict, including Truth Social posts interpreted by critics as threats of disproportionate force. Planning documents and public statements indicate that, if Democrats secure a majority, articles could advance quickly in 2027. Traders weigh the low historical bar for House passage against Republican Senate majorities that make conviction improbable, while noting the resolution window extends through the full term and any escalation in partisan legislative conflict.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,039Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 61.5% trader consensus that Donald Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple House Democrats have already introduced resolutions citing executive actions and public statements during the 2026 Iran conflict, including Truth Social posts interpreted by critics as threats of disproportionate force. Planning documents and public statements indicate that, if Democrats secure a majority, articles could advance quickly in 2027. Traders weigh the low historical bar for House passage against Republican Senate majorities that make conviction improbable, while noting the resolution window extends through the full term and any escalation in partisan legislative conflict.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,039Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 61.5% trader consensus that Donald Trump will face impeachment before January 2029. Multiple House Democrats have already introduced resolutions citing executive actions and public statements during the 2026 Iran conflict, including Truth Social posts interpreted by critics as threats of disproportionate force. Planning documents and public statements indicate that, if Democrats secure a majority, articles could advance quickly in 2027. Traders weigh the low historical bar for House passage against Republican Senate majorities that make conviction improbable, while noting the resolution window extends through the full term and any escalation in partisan legislative conflict.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan