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Politik·Rumah Perwakilan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Politik·Rumah Perwakilan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 8.0%

Jim Jordan 6.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Hakeem Jeffries 78%

Katherine Clark 8.8%

Mike Johnson 8.0%

Jim Jordan 6.3%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,041 Vol.

78%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$96 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$78 Vol.

2%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$113 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$83 Vol.

3%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$124 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and nonpartisan House race ratings have elevated Hakeem Jeffries to an implied 77.5% probability of becoming Speaker, as the party out of power typically gains seats in midterms during a president's term. Recent forecasts show Democrats favored to flip the chamber by a net of several seats, driven by competitive Republican-held districts and consistent leads of six to seven points in national surveys. Mike Johnson's low odds reflect the narrow GOP majority and historical midterm headwinds, while Katherine Clark, Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise, and Pete Aguilar trail due to their party or leadership positioning. Upcoming primaries, special elections, and final redistricting outcomes could still shift the balance before November 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,534
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling and nonpartisan House race ratings have elevated Hakeem Jeffries to an implied 77.5% probability of becoming Speaker, as the party out of power typically gains seats in midterms during a president's term. Recent forecasts show Democrats favored to flip the chamber by a net of several seats, driven by competitive Republican-held districts and consistent leads of six to seven points in national surveys. Mike Johnson's low odds reflect the narrow GOP majority and historical midterm headwinds, while Katherine Clark, Jim Jordan, Steve Scalise, and Pete Aguilar trail due to their party or leadership positioning. Upcoming primaries, special elections, and final redistricting outcomes could still shift the balance before November 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,534
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 3, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

2%
icon for Apakah Partai Demokrat akan menguasai DPR setelah pemilu paruh waktu 2026?

Apakah Partai Demokrat akan menguasai DPR setelah pemilu paruh waktu 2026?

88%
Ya
icon for Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?

30%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Katherine Clark" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Speaker of the House after the midterms?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Katherine Clark" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.