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icon for Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

icon for Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
10% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**With only eight days remaining before the September 30 deadline, Senate passage of a $20 billion-plus supplemental war funding measure faces steep procedural and political hurdles.** Partisan divisions over the Trump administration’s June request for $87.6 billion—primarily $67 billion for defense costs tied to the Iran conflict—have stalled progress, with Democrats criticizing the war and the supplemental’s scope while some Republicans question timing ahead of midterms. A continuing resolution passed by both chambers in late August and early September extended funding through December without including the supplemental, reflecting bipartisan reluctance to attach contentious war-related appropriations. Hearings in July highlighted opposition to non-defense riders and war costs, and no floor action on a standalone or amended package has advanced in the Senate since. The narrow window before fiscal year-end and the CR’s exclusion of the funding reinforce trader expectations that the threshold will not be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**With only eight days remaining before the September 30 deadline, Senate passage of a $20 billion-plus supplemental war funding measure faces steep procedural and political hurdles.** Partisan divisions over the Trump administration’s June request for $87.6 billion—primarily $67 billion for defense costs tied to the Iran conflict—have stalled progress, with Democrats criticizing the war and the supplemental’s scope while some Republicans question timing ahead of midterms. A continuing resolution passed by both chambers in late August and early September extended funding through December without including the supplemental, reflecting bipartisan reluctance to attach contentious war-related appropriations. Hearings in July highlighted opposition to non-defense riders and war costs, and no floor action on a standalone or amended package has advanced in the Senate since. The narrow window before fiscal year-end and the CR’s exclusion of the funding reinforce trader expectations that the threshold will not be met.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,207
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 10¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" adalah 10% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 10% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.