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Politik·Senat

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

icon for Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Politik·Senat

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

1% peluang
Polymarket

$354,331 Vol.

1% peluang
Polymarket

$354,331 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of both the House (approximately 220-215 majority) and Senate (53-47 effective majority) forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as articles require a simple House majority to pass and two-thirds Senate approval for conviction and removal—thresholds unmet without significant GOP defections. Trader consensus at 98.6% "No" reflects the absence of active proceedings or momentum following isolated Democratic filings in April, such as Rep. John Larson's articles, which garnered no bipartisan support amid leadership resistance. With six weeks until resolution on June 30, no scheduled votes or hearings loom. Only an extraordinary scandal prompting cross-party revolt or unforeseen House vacancies flipping control could shift odds, though historical precedents like Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan divides.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$354,331
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of both the House (approximately 220-215 majority) and Senate (53-47 effective majority) forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as articles require a simple House majority to pass and two-thirds Senate approval for conviction and removal—thresholds unmet without significant GOP defections. Trader consensus at 98.6% "No" reflects the absence of active proceedings or momentum following isolated Democratic filings in April, such as Rep. John Larson's articles, which garnered no bipartisan support amid leadership resistance. With six weeks until resolution on June 30, no scheduled votes or hearings loom. Only an extraordinary scandal prompting cross-party revolt or unforeseen House vacancies flipping control could shift odds, though historical precedents like Trump's prior impeachments underscore partisan divides.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$354,331
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump be impeached by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 1¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Trump be impeached by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $354.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump be impeached by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump be impeached by June 30?" adalah 1% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 1% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump be impeached by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.