Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIran setuju untuk mengakhiri pengayaan uranium pada 30 Juni?
Ya
$1,380,969 Vol.
$1,380,969 Vol.
Ya
$1,380,969 Vol.
$1,380,969 Vol.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing deadlock in US-Iran nuclear negotiations over Tehran's refusal to accept limits on uranium enrichment has sustained trader skepticism that any agreement to halt all such activities will materialize by June 30. Iran has rejected US proposals for a long-term freeze, instead countering with demands for sanctions relief and continued enrichment rights under IAEA oversight, while recent statements from Iranian officials signal readiness to pursue higher purity levels amid regional tensions. IAEA-verified stockpiles of 60-percent enriched uranium remain a core verification obstacle, and indirect talks mediated through Oman have yielded no breakthrough in the past month. These positions align with Iran's longstanding red lines, leaving little scope for rapid resolution before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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