US-Iran talks remain stalled over Tehran’s nuclear program, with Iranian officials recently signaling that enrichment limits will not feature in immediate negotiations and instead conditioning any progress on ending regional conflicts, lifting sanctions, and resolving disputes over the Strait of Hormuz first. Iran’s latest counterproposal defers nuclear issues to a later phase, offers only a temporary pause or down-blending of its highly enriched uranium stockpile rather than a permanent end to enrichment activities, and rejects dismantling facilities or fully surrendering existing material. These positions, coupled with continued Iranian statements affirming its right to enrich uranium and ongoing IAEA monitoring of record stockpiles, have reinforced trader consensus that a binding agreement to halt enrichment by the May 31 deadline is unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,199 Vol.
$615,199 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$615,199 Vol.
$615,199 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran talks remain stalled over Tehran’s nuclear program, with Iranian officials recently signaling that enrichment limits will not feature in immediate negotiations and instead conditioning any progress on ending regional conflicts, lifting sanctions, and resolving disputes over the Strait of Hormuz first. Iran’s latest counterproposal defers nuclear issues to a later phase, offers only a temporary pause or down-blending of its highly enriched uranium stockpile rather than a permanent end to enrichment activities, and rejects dismantling facilities or fully surrendering existing material. These positions, coupled with continued Iranian statements affirming its right to enrich uranium and ongoing IAEA monitoring of record stockpiles, have reinforced trader consensus that a binding agreement to halt enrichment by the May 31 deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$615,199Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran talks remain stalled over Tehran’s nuclear program, with Iranian officials recently signaling that enrichment limits will not feature in immediate negotiations and instead conditioning any progress on ending regional conflicts, lifting sanctions, and resolving disputes over the Strait of Hormuz first. Iran’s latest counterproposal defers nuclear issues to a later phase, offers only a temporary pause or down-blending of its highly enriched uranium stockpile rather than a permanent end to enrichment activities, and rejects dismantling facilities or fully surrendering existing material. These positions, coupled with continued Iranian statements affirming its right to enrich uranium and ongoing IAEA monitoring of record stockpiles, have reinforced trader consensus that a binding agreement to halt enrichment by the May 31 deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$615,199Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran talks remain stalled over Tehran’s nuclear program, with Iranian officials recently signaling that enrichment limits will not feature in immediate negotiations and instead conditioning any progress on ending regional conflicts, lifting sanctions, and resolving disputes over the Strait of Hormuz first. Iran’s latest counterproposal defers nuclear issues to a later phase, offers only a temporary pause or down-blending of its highly enriched uranium stockpile rather than a permanent end to enrichment activities, and rejects dismantling facilities or fully surrendering existing material. These positions, coupled with continued Iranian statements affirming its right to enrich uranium and ongoing IAEA monitoring of record stockpiles, have reinforced trader consensus that a binding agreement to halt enrichment by the May 31 deadline is unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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