The recent exit of the United Arab Emirates from OPEC effective May 1 has not prompted similar moves by remaining members, as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and other core producers continue coordinated production adjustments to support market stability amid ongoing regional energy pressures. No additional formal withdrawal announcements or quota disputes have emerged in the past month, and the remaining group has reaffirmed commitments through successive OPEC+ meetings. Traders currently price the likelihood of another departure before year-end at just 32.5 percent, reflecting the higher diplomatic and financial costs facing the current membership compared with the UAE and the absence of any new internal fractures that would justify a second exit in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$92,584 Vol.
$92,584 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$92,584 Vol.
$92,584 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent exit of the United Arab Emirates from OPEC effective May 1 has not prompted similar moves by remaining members, as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and other core producers continue coordinated production adjustments to support market stability amid ongoing regional energy pressures. No additional formal withdrawal announcements or quota disputes have emerged in the past month, and the remaining group has reaffirmed commitments through successive OPEC+ meetings. Traders currently price the likelihood of another departure before year-end at just 32.5 percent, reflecting the higher diplomatic and financial costs facing the current membership compared with the UAE and the absence of any new internal fractures that would justify a second exit in 2026.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volume
$92,584Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent exit of the United Arab Emirates from OPEC effective May 1 has not prompted similar moves by remaining members, as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and other core producers continue coordinated production adjustments to support market stability amid ongoing regional energy pressures. No additional formal withdrawal announcements or quota disputes have emerged in the past month, and the remaining group has reaffirmed commitments through successive OPEC+ meetings. Traders currently price the likelihood of another departure before year-end at just 32.5 percent, reflecting the higher diplomatic and financial costs facing the current membership compared with the UAE and the absence of any new internal fractures that would justify a second exit in 2026.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,584Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent exit of the United Arab Emirates from OPEC effective May 1 has not prompted similar moves by remaining members, as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and other core producers continue coordinated production adjustments to support market stability amid ongoing regional energy pressures. No additional formal withdrawal announcements or quota disputes have emerged in the past month, and the remaining group has reaffirmed commitments through successive OPEC+ meetings. Traders currently price the likelihood of another departure before year-end at just 32.5 percent, reflecting the higher diplomatic and financial costs facing the current membership compared with the UAE and the absence of any new internal fractures that would justify a second exit in 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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