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icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

39.5–39.9 48%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

40.0+ 45%

Polymarket
BARU

39.5–39.9 48%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

40.0+ 45%

Polymarket
BARU

<38.0

$0 Vol.

45%

38.0–38.4

$0 Vol.

45%

38.5–38.9

$0 Vol.

44%

39.0–39.4

$0 Vol.

44%

39.5–39.9

$0 Vol.

48%

40.0+

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Trump approval rating on July 3?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "39.5–39.9" di 48%, diikuti oleh "<38.0" di 45%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Trump approval rating on July 3?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Trump approval rating on July 3?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Trump approval rating on July 3?" adalah "39.5–39.9" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<38.0" di 45%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Trump approval rating on July 3?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.