Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$22,830 Vol.
$22,830 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$22,830 Vol.
$22,830 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$22,830Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,830Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 88.5% on US annexation of any foreign territory in 2026, reflecting the absence of official executive actions, congressional legislation, or treaties advancing such moves amid steep diplomatic and legal barriers. Despite President Trump's reiterated interest in Greenland—sparked by early-year rhetoric post-Venezuela operations—no sovereignty transfer has materialized; recent talks focus on three new southern Greenland military bases with proposed sovereign status to counter Russia and China, but Denmark shows no concession signals. Historical precedent underscores rarity, with no federal annexations since 1898, while intra-US state disputes like Texas-New Mexico border proposals do not qualify. Institutional checks, NATO ally tensions, and Senate approval requirements maintain low odds, barring unforeseen escalations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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