Venezuelan crude production has climbed sharply in 2026 to around 1.2 million barrels per day as of August, up roughly 30% year-to-date from January levels near 0.92 million bpd, driven by expanded joint-venture operations with international oil companies. Recent U.S. policy shifts and new concession agreements have accelerated capital commitments, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion investment over five years targeting a doubling of its Venezuelan output and broader deals that could unlock additional upstream spending. Market-implied odds reflect these inflows alongside persistent constraints such as diluent imports, aging infrastructure, and logistical bottlenecks that analysts expect will cap full-year averages below the government’s 1.4 million bpd year-end goal. Key near-term catalysts include further regulatory clarity on foreign participation and any revisions to OPEC secondary-source estimates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$185,663 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
1.2m
55%
1.3m
21%
1.4m
7%
1.5m
9%
1.7m
3%
2m
4%
$185,663 Vol.
1.2m
$11,097 Vol.
55%
1.3m
$8,010 Vol.
21%
1.4m
$19,890 Vol.
7%
1.5m
$10,621 Vol.
9%
1.7m
$59,934 Vol.
3%
2m
$16,473 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude production has climbed sharply in 2026 to around 1.2 million barrels per day as of August, up roughly 30% year-to-date from January levels near 0.92 million bpd, driven by expanded joint-venture operations with international oil companies. Recent U.S. policy shifts and new concession agreements have accelerated capital commitments, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion investment over five years targeting a doubling of its Venezuelan output and broader deals that could unlock additional upstream spending. Market-implied odds reflect these inflows alongside persistent constraints such as diluent imports, aging infrastructure, and logistical bottlenecks that analysts expect will cap full-year averages below the government’s 1.4 million bpd year-end goal. Key near-term catalysts include further regulatory clarity on foreign participation and any revisions to OPEC secondary-source estimates.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$185,663Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuelan crude production has climbed sharply in 2026 to around 1.2 million barrels per day as of August, up roughly 30% year-to-date from January levels near 0.92 million bpd, driven by expanded joint-venture operations with international oil companies. Recent U.S. policy shifts and new concession agreements have accelerated capital commitments, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion investment over five years targeting a doubling of its Venezuelan output and broader deals that could unlock additional upstream spending. Market-implied odds reflect these inflows alongside persistent constraints such as diluent imports, aging infrastructure, and logistical bottlenecks that analysts expect will cap full-year averages below the government’s 1.4 million bpd year-end goal. Key near-term catalysts include further regulatory clarity on foreign participation and any revisions to OPEC secondary-source estimates.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Volume
$185,663Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan crude production has climbed sharply in 2026 to around 1.2 million barrels per day as of August, up roughly 30% year-to-date from January levels near 0.92 million bpd, driven by expanded joint-venture operations with international oil companies. Recent U.S. policy shifts and new concession agreements have accelerated capital commitments, including Chevron’s planned $7 billion investment over five years targeting a doubling of its Venezuelan output and broader deals that could unlock additional upstream spending. Market-implied odds reflect these inflows alongside persistent constraints such as diluent imports, aging infrastructure, and logistical bottlenecks that analysts expect will cap full-year averages below the government’s 1.4 million bpd year-end goal. Key near-term catalysts include further regulatory clarity on foreign participation and any revisions to OPEC secondary-source estimates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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