Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn after his January 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. No bail application has been filed, and the court has not indicated any imminent release. Venezuelan officials continue diplomatic calls for his return, while the Rodríguez interim government focuses on domestic stabilization measures. Trader consensus on release timing reflects the extended legal timeline, limited bail prospects in high-profile federal cases, and absence of recent developments that would accelerate proceedings or produce a negotiated transfer before the 2027 trial date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2,687,688 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
31 Desember
7%
$2,687,688 Vol.
31 Desember
$292,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn after his January 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. No bail application has been filed, and the court has not indicated any imminent release. Venezuelan officials continue diplomatic calls for his return, while the Rodríguez interim government focuses on domestic stabilization measures. Trader consensus on release timing reflects the extended legal timeline, limited bail prospects in high-profile federal cases, and absence of recent developments that would accelerate proceedings or produce a negotiated transfer before the 2027 trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,688Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn after his January 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. No bail application has been filed, and the court has not indicated any imminent release. Venezuelan officials continue diplomatic calls for his return, while the Rodríguez interim government focuses on domestic stabilization measures. Trader consensus on release timing reflects the extended legal timeline, limited bail prospects in high-profile federal cases, and absence of recent developments that would accelerate proceedings or produce a negotiated transfer before the 2027 trial date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,688Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention in Brooklyn after his January 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which both have pleaded not guilty, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. No bail application has been filed, and the court has not indicated any imminent release. Venezuelan officials continue diplomatic calls for his return, while the Rodríguez interim government focuses on domestic stabilization measures. Trader consensus on release timing reflects the extended legal timeline, limited bail prospects in high-profile federal cases, and absence of recent developments that would accelerate proceedings or produce a negotiated transfer before the 2027 trial date.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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