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icon for Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

icon for Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

Ya

22% peluang
Polymarket

$1,984,077 Vol.

Ya

22% peluang
Polymarket

$1,984,077 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. officials and military leaders have repeatedly signaled that no invasion of Cuba is planned for 2026, anchoring trader consensus on the low likelihood of military action despite President Trump’s public rhetoric following the Venezuela operation. New sanctions targeting Cuban entities, heightened intelligence flights along the coast, and contingency planning disclosures have raised tensions, yet Southern Command has confirmed no rehearsals for seizing territory or establishing control. Congressional leaders introduced a war powers resolution in April to restrict unauthorized hostilities, while diplomatic channels, including recent statements from Brazilian President Lula, reinforce expectations that economic pressure and sanctions will remain the primary tools. With attention also focused on Iran negotiations, the absence of mobilization or congressional authorization sustains the market’s strong tilt against an invasion by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$1,984,077
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. officials and military leaders have repeatedly signaled that no invasion of Cuba is planned for 2026, anchoring trader consensus on the low likelihood of military action despite President Trump’s public rhetoric following the Venezuela operation. New sanctions targeting Cuban entities, heightened intelligence flights along the coast, and contingency planning disclosures have raised tensions, yet Southern Command has confirmed no rehearsals for seizing territory or establishing control. Congressional leaders introduced a war powers resolution in April to restrict unauthorized hostilities, while diplomatic channels, including recent statements from Brazilian President Lula, reinforce expectations that economic pressure and sanctions will remain the primary tools. With attention also focused on Iran negotiations, the absence of mobilization or congressional authorization sustains the market’s strong tilt against an invasion by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$1,984,096
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" di 22%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 22¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" telah menghasilkan $2 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" adalah "Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" di 22%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 22% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.