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icon for Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

icon for Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?
Politik·Venezuela

Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$3,250,920 Vol.

Ya

8% peluang
Polymarket

$3,250,920 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**U.S. policy toward Cuba in 2026 has centered on economic pressure through a fuel blockade imposed in January, additional sanctions, and an executive order declaring a national emergency, alongside diplomatic negotiations that produced prisoner releases but stalled by June with no breakthroughs.** President Trump has issued strong rhetoric, including references to a possible "friendly takeover," while Pentagon planning has examined limited military options amid regional tensions following the Venezuela intervention. However, analyses from defense experts describe a full-scale invasion as the least likely scenario, citing Cuba's limited military capacity, the high costs of occupation, visible force requirements, and preference for continued sanctions and talks over direct intervention. No major military escalation has occurred by mid-August, supporting trader expectations that an invasion will not take place this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$3,250,920
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.**U.S. policy toward Cuba in 2026 has centered on economic pressure through a fuel blockade imposed in January, additional sanctions, and an executive order declaring a national emergency, alongside diplomatic negotiations that produced prisoner releases but stalled by June with no breakthroughs.** President Trump has issued strong rhetoric, including references to a possible "friendly takeover," while Pentagon planning has examined limited military options amid regional tensions following the Venezuela intervention. However, analyses from defense experts describe a full-scale invasion as the least likely scenario, citing Cuba's limited military capacity, the high costs of occupation, visible force requirements, and preference for continued sanctions and talks over direct intervention. No major military escalation has occurred by mid-August, supporting trader expectations that an invasion will not take place this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$3,250,920
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" di 8%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" telah menghasilkan $3.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" adalah "Apakah AS akan menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" di hanya 8%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Akankah AS menginvasi Kuba pada tahun 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.