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icon for Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

icon for Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

BARU
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,714 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$1,563 Vol.

8%

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve sits at multi-decade lows near 285 million barrels following the release of 172 million barrels tied to 2026 supply disruptions, prompting renewed focus on replenishment. President Trump’s late-August announcement of a major Venezuela oil development agreement explicitly tied Venezuelan production to SPR refilling, with statements suggesting the process could begin shortly via direct delivery or swaps for compatible U.S. grades. However, Venezuelan heavy-sour crude grades are poorly suited for SPR caverns, requiring exchanges or infrastructure upgrades that analysts describe as multi-year efforts rather than near-term solutions. Recent Department of Energy comments have clarified that no such Venezuelan oil use is planned at present, while surging imports of Venezuelan barrels are directed to Gulf Coast refineries instead. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA inventory data and any further administration guidance on exchange mechanics or production timelines.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,714
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve sits at multi-decade lows near 285 million barrels following the release of 172 million barrels tied to 2026 supply disruptions, prompting renewed focus on replenishment. President Trump’s late-August announcement of a major Venezuela oil development agreement explicitly tied Venezuelan production to SPR refilling, with statements suggesting the process could begin shortly via direct delivery or swaps for compatible U.S. grades. However, Venezuelan heavy-sour crude grades are poorly suited for SPR caverns, requiring exchanges or infrastructure upgrades that analysts describe as multi-year efforts rather than near-term solutions. Recent Department of Energy comments have clarified that no such Venezuelan oil use is planned at present, while surging imports of Venezuelan barrels are directed to Gulf Coast refineries instead. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming EIA inventory data and any further administration guidance on exchange mechanics or production timelines.

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.

The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,714
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 8%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 2, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" adalah "December 31" di hanya 8%, dengan "September 30" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.