Senate Republican opposition and the chamber's 60-vote cloture threshold have repeatedly blocked versions of the SAVE Act and SAVE America Act, even after House passage in April 2025 and multiple 2026 attempts to attach the provisions to must-pass measures such as the NDAA and appropriations bills. Recent Senate votes, including failed cloture efforts and rejections of amendments carrying the text in June and September 2026, reflect insufficient GOP support to overcome Democratic unity and internal Republican holds. With the 2026 midterm elections approaching and limited legislative calendar remaining, traders assign only a 4% implied probability of enactment by year-end. Late-breaking developments that could still shift odds include a post-election lame-duck compromise or changes in Senate composition sufficient to waive the filibuster.