The Senate filibuster remains the dominant barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, with the bill stalled after House passage in April 2025 and subsequent House votes in February and July 2026. Republicans hold 53 seats and have been unable to secure the seven additional votes needed to reach the 60-vote cloture threshold, while attempts to attach provisions to the NDAA or advance a scaled-back version through budget reconciliation have not produced Senate floor action. Senate leaders have signaled continued opposition to bypassing regular order, and no bipartisan agreement has emerged on documentary proof-of-citizenship requirements for voter registration. These procedural and partisan dynamics underpin traders' strong consensus that the bill will not reach the president for signature before the end of 2026.