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Politik·Afrika

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

icon for Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Politik·Afrika

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 5.5%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.1%

Polymarket

$31,502 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 5.5%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.1%

Polymarket

$31,502 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$15,627 Vol.

71%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$6,434 Vol.

24%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$2,420 Vol.

6%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$3,029 Vol.

4%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$3,992 Vol.

4%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Incumbent President Bola Tinubu holds a commanding position in the 2027 contest as the APC nominee, backed by party machinery, incumbency advantages, and a unified primary outcome that underscored limited internal challenges. Trader consensus reflects recent opposition fragmentation, including Peter Obi's shift to the NDC after departing the ADC amid internal disputes and legal issues, alongside Rabiu Kwankwaso's parallel move, which has split potential anti-incumbent votes. This disarray follows earlier coalition attempts that faltered, leaving multiple aspirants contesting separately. Lower probabilities for figures like Rotimi Amaechi and Omoyele Sowore align with their limited recent momentum or party traction ahead of the January vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,502
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 16, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Incumbent President Bola Tinubu holds a commanding position in the 2027 contest as the APC nominee, backed by party machinery, incumbency advantages, and a unified primary outcome that underscored limited internal challenges. Trader consensus reflects recent opposition fragmentation, including Peter Obi's shift to the NDC after departing the ADC amid internal disputes and legal issues, alongside Rabiu Kwankwaso's parallel move, which has split potential anti-incumbent votes. This disarray follows earlier coalition attempts that faltered, leaving multiple aspirants contesting separately. Lower probabilities for figures like Rotimi Amaechi and Omoyele Sowore align with their limited recent momentum or party traction ahead of the January vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,502
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 16, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bola Tinubu" di 71%, diikuti oleh "Peter Obi" di 24%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 71¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $31.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 16, 2027. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" adalah "Bola Tinubu" di 71%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 71% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Peter Obi" di 24%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.