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icon for Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

icon for Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

United Russia 96.3%

LDPR <1%

New People <1%

Party of Pensioners <1%

Polymarket

$13,285 Vol.

United Russia 96.3%

LDPR <1%

New People <1%

Party of Pensioners <1%

Polymarket

$13,285 Vol.

icon for United Russia

United Russia

$10,048 Vol.

96%

icon for LDPR

LDPR

$430 Vol.

1%

icon for New People

New People

$842 Vol.

1%

icon for Party of Pensioners

Party of Pensioners

$555 Vol.

1%

icon for Communists of Russia

Communists of Russia

$659 Vol.

<1%

icon for CPRF

CPRF

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for A Just Russia

A Just Russia

$376 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$13,285
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$13,285
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "United Russia" di 96%, diikuti oleh "LDPR" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 96¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" telah menghasilkan $13.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 28, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" adalah "United Russia" di 96%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "LDPR" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Samara Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.