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icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

icon for Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 55%

Sitiveni Selui 47%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 45%

Sione Tuifio Hui 34%

Polymarket
BARU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 55%

Sitiveni Selui 47%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 45%

Sione Tuifio Hui 34%

Polymarket
BARU

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$0 Vol.

55%

Sitiveni Selui

$0 Vol.

47%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$0 Vol.

45%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

34%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$0 Vol.

23%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).Five candidates are contesting the Ongo Niua 17 by-election on 8 October following the Supreme Court’s bribery conviction and unseating of the 2025 winner, former Finance Minister Lataifaingata’a Tangimana. The fragmented field includes Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, each drawing support from different villages across the small Niuas constituency. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with no candidate establishing a clear lead. Village-level loyalties, family connections, and limited campaigning time before polling keep probabilities closely matched. Any late endorsements, turnout differences among outer-island communities, or shifts in local alliances could widen gaps ahead of the vote.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Lei Paasi win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

Will Lei Paasi win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

46%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" di 55%, diikuti oleh "Sitiveni Selui" di 47%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 55¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" adalah "'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" di 55%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sitiveni Selui" di 47%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.