Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 88%
Clariana Barao 26%
Renan Santos 1%
Edmilson Costa 1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
88%
Clariana Barao
26%
Renan Santos
12%
Edmilson Costa
21%
Flavio Bolsonaro
11%
Hertz Dias
14%
Samara
9%
Pablo Marçal
36%
Escritor Augusto Cury
38%
Ronaldo Caiado
40%
Rui Costa Pimenta
38%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
40%
Zema
37%
Lula 88%
Clariana Barao 26%
Renan Santos 1%
Edmilson Costa 1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$120 Vol.
88%
Clariana Barao
$70 Vol.
26%
Renan Santos
$81 Vol.
12%
Edmilson Costa
$81 Vol.
21%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$81 Vol.
11%
Hertz Dias
$81 Vol.
14%
Samara
$81 Vol.
9%
Pablo Marçal
$81 Vol.
36%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$70 Vol.
38%
Ronaldo Caiado
$81 Vol.
40%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$81 Vol.
38%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$70 Vol.
40%
Zema
$81 Vol.
37%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$1,061Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,061Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding position in Alagoas trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round, reflecting his established strength in Brazil’s Northeast among lower-income, Catholic, and older voters. National polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and Nexus shows him leading first-round scenarios at 40-42%, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 32-35%, with Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury trailing in single digits. Lula’s renomination alongside Geraldo Alckmin and regional party infrastructure reinforce this edge, while Flávio Bolsonaro’s selection of Alagoas-based running mate Alfredo Gaspar offers limited counterweight. Minor candidates face structural barriers to statewide plurality. Upcoming debates and final campaign shifts remain the main variables before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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