Lula holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Pernambuco's first-round presidential vote, reflecting his status as the incumbent from the state and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30 points over rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time Big Data, and Datafolha show Lula capturing 54-56% support in the state, driven by strong backing in the Northeast among lower-income and female voters, alongside approval ratings around 56%. This regional base has remained stable through September 2026 amid broader national polarization. While the frontrunner position appears secure, scenarios such as a major health event, unexpected scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before the October 2026 election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 96.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Vol.
$10,145 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Lula 96.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.4%
Zema <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$10,145 Vol.
$10,145 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$6,097 Vol.
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$397 Vol.
1%
Zema
$339 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$319 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$319 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$334 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$334 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$323 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$356 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$411 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$334 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$291 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$290 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Pernambuco's first-round presidential vote, reflecting his status as the incumbent from the state and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30 points over rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time Big Data, and Datafolha show Lula capturing 54-56% support in the state, driven by strong backing in the Northeast among lower-income and female voters, alongside approval ratings around 56%. This regional base has remained stable through September 2026 amid broader national polarization. While the frontrunner position appears secure, scenarios such as a major health event, unexpected scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before the October 2026 election.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$10,145Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Pernambuco's first-round presidential vote, reflecting his status as the incumbent from the state and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30 points over rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time Big Data, and Datafolha show Lula capturing 54-56% support in the state, driven by strong backing in the Northeast among lower-income and female voters, alongside approval ratings around 56%. This regional base has remained stable through September 2026 amid broader national polarization. While the frontrunner position appears secure, scenarios such as a major health event, unexpected scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before the October 2026 election.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,145Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for first place in Pernambuco's first-round presidential vote, reflecting his status as the incumbent from the state and consistent polling advantages exceeding 30 points over rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent surveys from AtlasIntel, Real Time Big Data, and Datafolha show Lula capturing 54-56% support in the state, driven by strong backing in the Northeast among lower-income and female voters, alongside approval ratings around 56%. This regional base has remained stable through September 2026 amid broader national polarization. While the frontrunner position appears secure, scenarios such as a major health event, unexpected scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns among undecided voters could still alter the outcome before the October 2026 election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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