Jerônimo Rodrigues secured re-election as Bahia governor in the October 4, 2026 first round with roughly 55% of valid votes, well ahead of ACM Neto at about 44%. This outcome followed a tight late-campaign period where polls showed the two candidates essentially tied or within margins of error, with Jerônimo benefiting from strong PT organizational support, alignment with President Lula, and voter backing for his administration's infrastructure and education initiatives. The decisive margin eliminated the need for a runoff and left negligible support for other listed contenders. Trader consensus now reflects near-certainty in official certification, though final tribunal confirmation or any rare procedural disputes could theoretically alter resolution timing.