The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent state polling shows the pair within a few points in a technical tie, reflecting Rodrigues's stable approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of center-right support after his party's 2025 national break with the federal administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. A August debate and shifts in municipal backing have kept momentum balanced, with traders pricing only a slim edge for the sitting governor. Further movement could hinge on turnout patterns in key regions, additional candidate entries, or national political currents affecting local coalitions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,589 Vol.
$107,589 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
52%
ACM Neto
48%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 52%
ACM Neto 48%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$107,589 Vol.
$107,589 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$34,528 Vol.
52%
ACM Neto
$35,881 Vol.
48%
Kleber Rosa
$11,407 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$9,514 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent state polling shows the pair within a few points in a technical tie, reflecting Rodrigues's stable approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of center-right support after his party's 2025 national break with the federal administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. A August debate and shifts in municipal backing have kept momentum balanced, with traders pricing only a slim edge for the sitting governor. Further movement could hinge on turnout patterns in key regions, additional candidate entries, or national political currents affecting local coalitions.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$107,589Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent state polling shows the pair within a few points in a technical tie, reflecting Rodrigues's stable approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of center-right support after his party's 2025 national break with the federal administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. A August debate and shifts in municipal backing have kept momentum balanced, with traders pricing only a slim edge for the sitting governor. Further movement could hinge on turnout patterns in key regions, additional candidate entries, or national political currents affecting local coalitions.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$107,589Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial race remains tightly contested between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote. Recent state polling shows the pair within a few points in a technical tie, reflecting Rodrigues's stable approval ratings on infrastructure and education alongside Neto's consolidation of center-right support after his party's 2025 national break with the federal administration and alignment with the broader opposition bloc. A August debate and shifts in municipal backing have kept momentum balanced, with traders pricing only a slim edge for the sitting governor. Further movement could hinge on turnout patterns in key regions, additional candidate entries, or national political currents affecting local coalitions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan