The crowded field and regional dynamics in Amazonas are keeping the first-round outcome highly uncertain, as reflected in the broad distribution of market prices around 50% for numerous candidates. National frontrunners like Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face competition from figures such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, whose support may vary based on state-specific priorities including Amazon environmental management, resource development, and local alliances ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent national polls show the top contenders closely matched or in flux due to coalition negotiations and lingering effects from earlier 2026 developments, with no dominant regional favorite emerging to consolidate support. Late campaign shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in northern states could still separate contenders in this fragmented contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLula 41%
Edmilson Costa 35%
Flavio Bolsonaro 35%
Escritor Augusto Cury 35%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
41%
Edmilson Costa
35%
Flavio Bolsonaro
35%
Escritor Augusto Cury
35%
Renan Santos
35%
Zema
35%
Ronaldo Caiado
34%
Clariana Barao
33%
Samara
33%
Rui Costa Pimenta
32%
Hertz Dias
4%
Pablo Marçal
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
34%
Lula 41%
Edmilson Costa 35%
Flavio Bolsonaro 35%
Escritor Augusto Cury 35%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$45 Vol.
41%
Edmilson Costa
$73 Vol.
35%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
35%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$73 Vol.
35%
Renan Santos
$73 Vol.
35%
Zema
$74 Vol.
35%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Vol.
34%
Clariana Barao
$71 Vol.
33%
Samara
$98 Vol.
33%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$98 Vol.
32%
Hertz Dias
$203 Vol.
4%
Pablo Marçal
$203 Vol.
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$79 Vol.
34%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The crowded field and regional dynamics in Amazonas are keeping the first-round outcome highly uncertain, as reflected in the broad distribution of market prices around 50% for numerous candidates. National frontrunners like Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face competition from figures such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, whose support may vary based on state-specific priorities including Amazon environmental management, resource development, and local alliances ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent national polls show the top contenders closely matched or in flux due to coalition negotiations and lingering effects from earlier 2026 developments, with no dominant regional favorite emerging to consolidate support. Late campaign shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in northern states could still separate contenders in this fragmented contest.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Volume
$1,091Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The crowded field and regional dynamics in Amazonas are keeping the first-round outcome highly uncertain, as reflected in the broad distribution of market prices around 50% for numerous candidates. National frontrunners like Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face competition from figures such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, whose support may vary based on state-specific priorities including Amazon environmental management, resource development, and local alliances ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent national polls show the top contenders closely matched or in flux due to coalition negotiations and lingering effects from earlier 2026 developments, with no dominant regional favorite emerging to consolidate support. Late campaign shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in northern states could still separate contenders in this fragmented contest.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,091Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field and regional dynamics in Amazonas are keeping the first-round outcome highly uncertain, as reflected in the broad distribution of market prices around 50% for numerous candidates. National frontrunners like Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro face competition from figures such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema, whose support may vary based on state-specific priorities including Amazon environmental management, resource development, and local alliances ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent national polls show the top contenders closely matched or in flux due to coalition negotiations and lingering effects from earlier 2026 developments, with no dominant regional favorite emerging to consolidate support. Late campaign shifts, endorsements, or turnout patterns in northern states could still separate contenders in this fragmented contest.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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