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Politik·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politik·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 59%

Wu Shu-chin 28%

Yeh Chu-lin 6.5%

Chou Ni-an 6.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Chen Chen-chung 59%

Wu Shu-chin 28%

Yeh Chu-lin 6.5%

Chou Ni-an 6.3%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$1,456 Vol.

59%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$2,834 Vol.

28%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$275 Vol.

6%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$350 Vol.

6%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$219 Vol.

5%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$744 Vol.

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Penghu County’s magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, with traders assigning Chen Chen-chung the leading implied probability near 59 percent. The KMT nominee, a sitting township head, benefits from unified party backing after the DPP’s February 2026 decision to substitute Wu Shu-chin for her husband, incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his medical emergency and ongoing recovery. Penghu’s history of alternating party control and a crowded field of independents and minor candidates heightens the risk of pan-blue vote splitting, sustaining tight pricing across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events, candidate coordination talks, and any shifts in local polling could further separate the frontrunners before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,877
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Penghu County’s magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026 local elections, with traders assigning Chen Chen-chung the leading implied probability near 59 percent. The KMT nominee, a sitting township head, benefits from unified party backing after the DPP’s February 2026 decision to substitute Wu Shu-chin for her husband, incumbent Chen Kuang-fu, following his medical emergency and ongoing recovery. Penghu’s history of alternating party control and a crowded field of independents and minor candidates heightens the risk of pan-blue vote splitting, sustaining tight pricing across multiple contenders. Upcoming campaign events, candidate coordination talks, and any shifts in local polling could further separate the frontrunners before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$5,877
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Terkait

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Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

81%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

86%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Chen Chen-chung" di 59%, diikuti oleh "Wu Shu-chin" di 28%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 59¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 59% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" adalah "Chen Chen-chung" di 59%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 59% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Wu Shu-chin" di 28%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.