Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, favors Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, and its partisan lean plus Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around Flanagan’s commanding position. As lieutenant governor and the progressive standard-bearer, Flanagan secured major party endorsements and demonstrated primary strength that translated into broad general-election support. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won her primary, faces the structural headwinds of Minnesota’s electoral history and limited statewide name recognition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually strong Republican turnout, major national tailwinds for the GOP, or unforeseen events damaging Flanagan’s standing before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, favors Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, and its partisan lean plus Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around Flanagan’s commanding position. As lieutenant governor and the progressive standard-bearer, Flanagan secured major party endorsements and demonstrated primary strength that translated into broad general-election support. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won her primary, faces the structural headwinds of Minnesota’s electoral history and limited statewide name recognition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually strong Republican turnout, major national tailwinds for the GOP, or unforeseen events damaging Flanagan’s standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$47,494Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, favors Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, and its partisan lean plus Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around Flanagan’s commanding position. As lieutenant governor and the progressive standard-bearer, Flanagan secured major party endorsements and demonstrated primary strength that translated into broad general-election support. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won her primary, faces the structural headwinds of Minnesota’s electoral history and limited statewide name recognition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually strong Republican turnout, major national tailwinds for the GOP, or unforeseen events damaging Flanagan’s standing before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$47,494Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Tina Smith, favors Peggy Flanagan after her August 11 primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig. The state has not elected a Republican senator since 2002, and its partisan lean plus Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around Flanagan’s commanding position. As lieutenant governor and the progressive standard-bearer, Flanagan secured major party endorsements and demonstrated primary strength that translated into broad general-election support. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won her primary, faces the structural headwinds of Minnesota’s electoral history and limited statewide name recognition. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually strong Republican turnout, major national tailwinds for the GOP, or unforeseen events damaging Flanagan’s standing before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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