Recent announcements have brought the number of Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to roughly 20–22, yet traders assign the highest probability to the 32–35 range because additional retirements are widely expected before filing deadlines. Long-serving members such as Steny Hoyer and others in their seventies or eighties have already stepped aside, and more in safe or redrawn districts may follow amid ongoing redistricting, generational turnover, and opportunities to pursue Senate or gubernatorial bids. The spread across 24–35 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional departures will materialize in the coming months versus those who remain through the primaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 14.1%
$31,654 Vol.
$31,654 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
3%
20–23
14%
24–27
19%
28–31
20%
32–35
32%
36–39
3%
40+
16%
32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 14.1%
$31,654 Vol.
$31,654 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
$16,991 Vol.
3%
20–23
$5,250 Vol.
14%
24–27
$4,156 Vol.
19%
28–31
$1,174 Vol.
20%
32–35
$3,574 Vol.
32%
36–39
$508 Vol.
3%
40+
$0 Vol.
16%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements have brought the number of Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to roughly 20–22, yet traders assign the highest probability to the 32–35 range because additional retirements are widely expected before filing deadlines. Long-serving members such as Steny Hoyer and others in their seventies or eighties have already stepped aside, and more in safe or redrawn districts may follow amid ongoing redistricting, generational turnover, and opportunities to pursue Senate or gubernatorial bids. The spread across 24–35 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional departures will materialize in the coming months versus those who remain through the primaries.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$31,654Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements have brought the number of Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to roughly 20–22, yet traders assign the highest probability to the 32–35 range because additional retirements are widely expected before filing deadlines. Long-serving members such as Steny Hoyer and others in their seventies or eighties have already stepped aside, and more in safe or redrawn districts may follow amid ongoing redistricting, generational turnover, and opportunities to pursue Senate or gubernatorial bids. The spread across 24–35 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional departures will materialize in the coming months versus those who remain through the primaries.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,654Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent announcements have brought the number of Democratic House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to roughly 20–22, yet traders assign the highest probability to the 32–35 range because additional retirements are widely expected before filing deadlines. Long-serving members such as Steny Hoyer and others in their seventies or eighties have already stepped aside, and more in safe or redrawn districts may follow amid ongoing redistricting, generational turnover, and opportunities to pursue Senate or gubernatorial bids. The spread across 24–35 outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional departures will materialize in the coming months versus those who remain through the primaries.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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