Democratic primary winner Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position in the open MI-11 race after incumbent Haley Stevens retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The Oakland County district’s suburban voter base and recent electoral patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, reinforced by Moss’s established record in the state senate and primary victory. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national Republican surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$71,074 Vol.
$71,074 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$49,052 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$22,022 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic primary winner Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position in the open MI-11 race after incumbent Haley Stevens retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The Oakland County district’s suburban voter base and recent electoral patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, reinforced by Moss’s established record in the state senate and primary victory. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national Republican surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$71,074Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic primary winner Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position in the open MI-11 race after incumbent Haley Stevens retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The Oakland County district’s suburban voter base and recent electoral patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, reinforced by Moss’s established record in the state senate and primary victory. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national Republican surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$71,074Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic primary winner Jeremy Moss holds a commanding position in the open MI-11 race after incumbent Haley Stevens retired to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The Oakland County district’s suburban voter base and recent electoral patterns underpin trader consensus around a strong Democratic hold, reinforced by Moss’s established record in the state senate and primary victory. Ethan Baker, the Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national Republican surge remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November.
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